Pandemic 2020

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Wattzzup

Wattzzup

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Horselover fat said:
You are doing a calculation based on number of people who have had severe enough symptoms to be one of the few tested and get tested positive. Your calculation will show how many people of those people died. It doesn't tell you the death rate in all who got infected.
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Finally someone here that gets it. Tons of people have it and don’t even get tested or show symptoms. They don’t want to count those. Those aren’t scary numbers.
 
doublejj

doublejj

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Horselover fat said:
You are doing a calculation based on number of people who have had severe enough symptoms to be one of the few tested and get tested positive. Your calculation will show how many people of those people died. It doesn't tell you the death rate in all who got infected.
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How many people who died of "flu" or "Pneumonia" in the last 6 months had been tested for Coconavirus?.."0"..I suspect many of them were actually Covid-19, so the death rate may be much higher
 
Fogdog

Fogdog

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SubZer0Genetics said:
no way the mortality rate is 3% if most people don’t show symptoms or have mild symptoms than its gotta be closer to .3%
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We won't know the mortality rate with certainty for months. What I don't understand is why you put so much importance in this? It's not as if any of your jiggering with numbers changes the situation now happening in Italy. Given all the similarities in behavior between the two countries, it is reasonable to expect the same will happen in the US in about three weeks from now.

So, please explain why it's so important to you what the mortality rate is at this instant?
 
doublejj

doublejj

Well-Known Member
Fogdog said:
We won't know the mortality rate with certainty for months. What I don't understand is why you put so much importance in this? It's not as if any of your jiggering with numbers changes the situation now happening in Italy. Given all the similarities in behavior between the two countries, it is reasonable to expect the same will happen in the US in about three weeks from now.

So, please explain why it's so important to you what the mortality rate is at this instant?
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The US is closely patterning Italy's curve........millions of Americans will soon die
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
Horselover fat said:
You are doing a calculation based on number of people who have had severe enough symptoms to be one of the few tested and get tested positive. Your calculation will show how many people of those people died. It doesn't tell you the death rate in all who got infected.
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I never claimed it did but you did claim we should ignore data
 
SubZer0Genetics

SubZer0Genetics

Well-Known Member
Fogdog said:
We won't know the mortality rate with certainty for months. What I don't understand is why you put so much importance in this? It's not as if any of your jiggering with numbers changes the situation now happening in Italy. Given all the similarities in behavior between the two countries, it is reasonable to expect the same will happen in the US in about three weeks from now.

So, please explain why it's so important to you what the mortality rate is at this instant?
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I never said it was that important. I was just stating that it’s probably way lower than they say.
 
captainmorgan

captainmorgan

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What the fuck is wrong with you people. Even if this virus only has a death rate of 1% it is going to kill a lot of people. It's a novel virus which means no one has immunity. If 70% become infected and it's 1% that's 2,300,000 dead Americans. tRUmp has basically not allowed testing at any real scale and the blood is on his hands.
 
Jimdamick

Jimdamick

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OldMedUser said:
Asimov has always been one of my faves. Not just his sci-fi but his non-fiction too. Stephen king is also a fave so much I actually paid retail for his last couple of books and both were worth every penny. Dr. Sleep, (sequel to The Shining), and The Institute.

Time for a purge of books in our house again. Reduce it to a 1000 or so. Wife reads a novel a week at least too. :)

:peace:
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Yea, actually reading a hard copy book is a lost form, and that's very fucking sad.
Nothing like laying down & reading a good book & marking your page & picking it up the next day & continuing on until your next nap :)
 
Fogdog

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
Wattzzup said:
US population
Over 331 million.
number of people infected less than 40,000
Deaths less than 400.
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Baloney detection kit, fallacy of logic number 19: suppressed evidence, or half-truths

Lack of testing, lack of test kits and the fact that we are still in early stages of an epidemic combine to make your numbers unreliable as indicators of anything. AKA Baloney.

Wattzzup said:
The real focus should be China. The deaths and even the spread of the virus has all but stopped in a country of over a billion.
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What point are you trying to make about "focus on China"?
 
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