It shouldn't be too hard if you can get raw data. Not selected data but raw data. Right now raw data tends to be hard to find.
The number of people would help, or count heads in pic and double?
Then you need the death rate for the first wave of the virus. Again based on real raw data. be careful to classify people who are already very ill or on death doorstep in a separate category.
You could expand a little and assume the rate of transmission of the first wave would also help get you a "real" hypothesis of your infected baseline.
Then take the number of hypothesized people and apply the rate of death and even "long haulers" if you wish.
The chances are you would be close but not "right" or exact.
Whatever you do dont use fact checker data becasue right now the ability to get actual facts outside of bias is impossible. " they" are currently only offering bias facts and controlling narratives for a desired outcome, usually people would be upset but for now most people are terrified like a rabbit.
I am going to broad stroke guess that these young people were used to freedom and trusted their government and government agents as far as they could throw them. Most of these people probably did alot of preserving their rights and standing up for a constitution. Many of them probably voted to legalize weed becasue we all know the government and doctors were right and honest when they fact checked US citizens about reefer madness.
When Microsoft told them to follow orders they more than likely failed to as Microsoft reminded them of their parents, not a unbiased doctor that can be trusted.
A reminder about kids and young adults, if they did not rebel and fight their parents they would never leave home. They would never grow or add their unique perspectives to the dynamic whole of humanity. Kids that follow "orders" would just stand around eating your food agreeing with you like a dog.
The truth is people make mistakes and usually always learn through experience. The world will never ever be safe or ideal for everyone. Attempts to protect humanity from this pandemic has killed more people globally than the pandemic has. Its how we learn, by failing and hurting ourselves. The pain response is a great teacher within a lifetime. Right now we are experiencing the next learning of a whole new generation, repeating their parents and grandparents mistakes. Nothing can be done and the human reality will always remain the same. Even AI is tainted with human failings that will lead it down the same path.
How long did reefer madness go on? You knew the fact checkers to be correct and followed their rules and guidance, right? Whats that?? they lied to you and even imprisoned people over a lie, fascinating. Good thing the fact checkers are not like that anymore. Good thing people have learned from the past , good thing.
Cheers.