Bubbagineer
Well-Known Member
I was thinkin... *crowd groans* I haven't seen any estimates from any source on the size of the recreational weed market. Surely the bean counters at the revenue office have done an estimate? Sure they have, Wall Street has too. Here's an order of magnitude estimate for your general debate and/or derision.
From a google search, I learned that in 2007 there were 27 million overnight ski trips to CO. Figure 25% (too conservative? Or not conservative enough?) will buy an eighth and you have a revenue value of $200 mil. Further, I think a conservative estimate of the in-state revenue can be developed assuming a typical consumer will purchase (1) $50 1/4oz per month for 5% of population (nationwide polls show regular smokers as 1% of population, but we aren't exactly in the bible belt out here) Assuming that 5% of CO population are regular consumers, then this adds another $150mil per year. So, $350 million per year, but I bet that's low by 1/2, my money is on it being a half $billion market annually.... Or around 150,000 pounds of cannabis per year.
Just as an FYI, this amount of theoretical demand could be met with 12 of the commercial greenhouse complexes that was discussed in a different thread. Now back to consuming some more of da De La Haze, math makes me sober.
From a google search, I learned that in 2007 there were 27 million overnight ski trips to CO. Figure 25% (too conservative? Or not conservative enough?) will buy an eighth and you have a revenue value of $200 mil. Further, I think a conservative estimate of the in-state revenue can be developed assuming a typical consumer will purchase (1) $50 1/4oz per month for 5% of population (nationwide polls show regular smokers as 1% of population, but we aren't exactly in the bible belt out here) Assuming that 5% of CO population are regular consumers, then this adds another $150mil per year. So, $350 million per year, but I bet that's low by 1/2, my money is on it being a half $billion market annually.... Or around 150,000 pounds of cannabis per year.
Just as an FYI, this amount of theoretical demand could be met with 12 of the commercial greenhouse complexes that was discussed in a different thread. Now back to consuming some more of da De La Haze, math makes me sober.