TheBrutalTruth
Well-Known Member
Why Gold? By : TheBrutalTruth (2009-07-21 16:09:56)
So, here's an interesting question, and my attempts to answer it. Why use gold as the commodity to benchmark inflation against? What is the properties of gold that make this course of action so attractive?
It is a very simple question, but the answer is of course complex. First, there's the question of why Gold makes such an excellent benchmark. The answer to that of course is the fact that it was the original basis for the dollar. That is the US Dollar was at one point in time fixed at approximately 1/20th of an oz. So this gives a reasonable benchmark to compare the dollar to, because this figure of 1/20th of an oz of gold gives a definite value to where the dollar should be based on current gold prices.
With a known base value for Gold it is then possible to adjust inflation against the Gold Standard which was half-killed in the 30s and then completely abolished in the 60s.
Since then Gold Prices (despite the claims of central bankers who believed that they would fall) have soared to new highs almost every decade.
In 1980 Real Gold Prices topped $2,000/troy oz in 2007 Dollars. Gold then crashed as high interest rates lead to an increased demand for the fiat money supply of paper dollars. This brought Gold out of the stratosphere and down to a more reasonable figure of $100 - $200/troy oz.
In the 90s Gold soared to $300 - $400/troy oz. Once again it made the buffoons at the central bank look like monkeys showing that their belief that Gold had value based on its connection to the dollar was inaccurate and nothing but idiotic posturing.
In this most recent decade Gold has climbed from $400 - $600/troy oz in the beginning part of the decade to $800 - $1,000/troy oz. This recent price hike has been a result of government's negligence of maintaining the value of the US Currency.
The central bankers consistently argue that inflation is a necessity, but the truth is otherwise. Inflation is not a necessity. Inflation is an unnatural state for any economy, because Inflation only occurs when the quantity of goods available is declining.
In a normal, growing economy the natural tendency is towards deflation as labor becomes cheaper due to greater availability, and through greater automation and other productivity gains.
No, inflation is not a sign of a healthy vibrant economy. Inflation is the sign of a dying economy.
Regardless, let us look at what a dollar would be worth if it was still as good as Gold.
First, there's the Silver Eagle (1 oz of Silver) which was worth $1 while it was being minted at the turn of the century, and consisted of 1 oz of silver. The value of the silver content would now be $13.55. That is the value of the dollar has declined over 92.7% against silver.
Against gold the dollar has slipped further. A Gold Double Eagle ($20) which was approximately one ounce of gold would be worth $947 at current market rates for gold, giving a value per dollar of $47.35 at the original rate of 1/20th troy oz of gold per dollar.
Against gold the dollar has lost 97.9% of its value. Through the artificial tool of inflation the central bank (Federal Reserve) of the United States has stolen over 90% of the population's wealth from them.
This trend will accelerate and will continue due to the continued expansion of the federal deficit and the continued expansion of government's attempts to dictate every aspect of an individual's life. It is only due to the welfare state that the government is running continuous deficits, and its attempts to correct for these problems is the immoral theft of the savings of individuals through the unnatural immoral practice of debasement of the money supply.
Not only has gold maintained its value relative to its original costs (1 oz of gold bought a nice suit in 1913, and 1 oz of gold would still buy a nice suit today.) but it has proven that the people that were attempting to argue that it would lose its value (as opposed to the dollar losing its value) once the dollar was unpegged from it as having no true knowledge of economics. Ironically, the people that were predicting gold's demise were Keynesians.
So, here's an interesting question, and my attempts to answer it. Why use gold as the commodity to benchmark inflation against? What is the properties of gold that make this course of action so attractive?
It is a very simple question, but the answer is of course complex. First, there's the question of why Gold makes such an excellent benchmark. The answer to that of course is the fact that it was the original basis for the dollar. That is the US Dollar was at one point in time fixed at approximately 1/20th of an oz. So this gives a reasonable benchmark to compare the dollar to, because this figure of 1/20th of an oz of gold gives a definite value to where the dollar should be based on current gold prices.
With a known base value for Gold it is then possible to adjust inflation against the Gold Standard which was half-killed in the 30s and then completely abolished in the 60s.
Since then Gold Prices (despite the claims of central bankers who believed that they would fall) have soared to new highs almost every decade.
In 1980 Real Gold Prices topped $2,000/troy oz in 2007 Dollars. Gold then crashed as high interest rates lead to an increased demand for the fiat money supply of paper dollars. This brought Gold out of the stratosphere and down to a more reasonable figure of $100 - $200/troy oz.
In the 90s Gold soared to $300 - $400/troy oz. Once again it made the buffoons at the central bank look like monkeys showing that their belief that Gold had value based on its connection to the dollar was inaccurate and nothing but idiotic posturing.
In this most recent decade Gold has climbed from $400 - $600/troy oz in the beginning part of the decade to $800 - $1,000/troy oz. This recent price hike has been a result of government's negligence of maintaining the value of the US Currency.
The central bankers consistently argue that inflation is a necessity, but the truth is otherwise. Inflation is not a necessity. Inflation is an unnatural state for any economy, because Inflation only occurs when the quantity of goods available is declining.
In a normal, growing economy the natural tendency is towards deflation as labor becomes cheaper due to greater availability, and through greater automation and other productivity gains.
No, inflation is not a sign of a healthy vibrant economy. Inflation is the sign of a dying economy.
Regardless, let us look at what a dollar would be worth if it was still as good as Gold.
First, there's the Silver Eagle (1 oz of Silver) which was worth $1 while it was being minted at the turn of the century, and consisted of 1 oz of silver. The value of the silver content would now be $13.55. That is the value of the dollar has declined over 92.7% against silver.
Against gold the dollar has slipped further. A Gold Double Eagle ($20) which was approximately one ounce of gold would be worth $947 at current market rates for gold, giving a value per dollar of $47.35 at the original rate of 1/20th troy oz of gold per dollar.
Against gold the dollar has lost 97.9% of its value. Through the artificial tool of inflation the central bank (Federal Reserve) of the United States has stolen over 90% of the population's wealth from them.
This trend will accelerate and will continue due to the continued expansion of the federal deficit and the continued expansion of government's attempts to dictate every aspect of an individual's life. It is only due to the welfare state that the government is running continuous deficits, and its attempts to correct for these problems is the immoral theft of the savings of individuals through the unnatural immoral practice of debasement of the money supply.
Not only has gold maintained its value relative to its original costs (1 oz of gold bought a nice suit in 1913, and 1 oz of gold would still buy a nice suit today.) but it has proven that the people that were attempting to argue that it would lose its value (as opposed to the dollar losing its value) once the dollar was unpegged from it as having no true knowledge of economics. Ironically, the people that were predicting gold's demise were Keynesians.