Every one of mine ate about every three hours.
LOL, confirmation bias, good one.
Do you ever question your own behaviour? You probably aren't even interested in a 'nobody's' comments eh? Superlative verbosity.........
Some might say psychoanalysing someone, when you are not a psychiatrist is delusional behaviour and suggestive of some type of mental disease itself
Close but no cigar... Confirmation bias refers to our tendency to pay attention to information which confirms our ideas rather than information that falsifies them.
Hehe, nope. Biases affect the dumb and the brilliant alike. They are an integral part of the architecture of our thinking, and we can never exile them. If you were not compelled to check the '7' card, it may indicate that you tend to think analytically rather than intuitively. So, it means you are thoughtful, but it doesn't necessarily mean you are smart. Regardless, it's certainly a check in the pros column.
Well I wouldn't have made a guess because I'm not remotely confident in my answer but, since you asked directly, I thought neglect of probability but then that seemed too obvious and there must be more to it with comparing one to the other.
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Philosophy 101 is as far as I went. So it's quite possible I am wrong. I did not look at the answer (yet). Here's my thinking if A then 7 is the conditional I read for so I'd turn over the A. I would not look for symmetry and turn the 7.
But that is exactly the situation Annie identified! The people hearing the noises made the invalid conclusion that noises outside had something to do with noises heard in correlation. Confirmation bias operates off our tendency to invalid correlations.
Only turning card A will test the premise. The D and 4 are irrelevant. The 7 card is disqualified because the statement is hierarchical. ~edit~ If A then 7 is the compact formulation as Annie noted.
I love all that stuff, I could never explain it like that! I kind of understand it on an instinctive level, but it's a very uneducated kind of understanding and I would never be able to explain it so that anybody else could make sense of it. I really wish I'd studied philosophy; I'm thinking about doing a degree in the next few years so maybe I can get that in somehow. Plenty of time to figure it out, I have to pick an access course first....
Ha, the other night I was standing in the front yard, having some smoke and listening to the goings on of nature. It so happened that I was standing over the end of the hose for the basement sump pit. It went off and so did I, and at that moment I didn't care much about biases lol
Confirmation bias involves an active pursuit for truth/accuracy. So, if we already thought that there was a killer outside, the noise could serve to confirm our idea. However, in my example the noise itself gave rise to the idea. We were biased in our idea, but it wasn't confirmation bias. It was representative bias, which is a result of being primed by the horror movie. This is known as the availability heuristic, which is what I was looking for.
Ah, but if the 4 had an 'A' on the other side, it would falsify the premise. You've just experienced confirmation bias.
If you are looking for post hoc ergo propter hoc, I contend that this is a contained subset within confirmation bias.
But I was just less confident in my answer because it came too easily to mind, is that a cognitive bias of some kind?Confirmation bias involves an active pursuit for truth/accuracy. So, if we already thought that there was a killer outside, the noise could serve to confirm our idea. However, in my example the noise itself gave rise to the idea. We were biased in our idea, but it wasn't confirmation bias. It was representative bias, which is a result of being primed by the horror movie. This is known as the availability heuristic, which is what I was looking for.
"The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person's mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision." The more easily the example comes to mind, the more confident of it we tend to be.
Ah, but if the 4 had an 'A' on the other side, it would falsify the premise. You've just experienced confirmation bias.
You're talking pure post hoc ergo propter hoc. That is why it is a subset of confirmation bias because only then does the preceding factor matter, with confirmation bias the antecedent is not important.Confirmation bias involves an active pursuit for truth/accuracy. So, if we already thought that there was a killer outside, the noise could serve to confirm our idea. However, in my example the noise itself gave rise to the idea. We were biased in our idea, but it wasn't confirmation bias. It was representative bias, which is a result of being primed by the horror movie. This is known as the availability heuristic, which is what I was looking for.
"The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person's mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision." The more easily the example comes to mind, the more confident of it we tend to be.
Ah, but if the 4 had an 'A' on the other side, it would falsify the premise. You've just experienced confirmation bias.
It's hard to say without knowing more about you. It sounds like it could be the Dunning-Kruger effect. People who are incompetent, and those who are highly competent, both tend to rate themselves closer to average than they deserve. Incompetent people tend to be arrogant and overly confident, while highly competent people tend to be modest and overly cautious.
You're not starting all that "sock" business again are you?!It's hard to say without knowing more about you. It sounds like it could be the Dunning-Kruger effect. People who are incompetent, and those who are highly competent, both tend to rate themselves closer to average than they deserve. Incompetent people tend to be arrogant and overly confident, while highly competent people tend to be modest and overly cautious.
Then again, it could be impostor syndrome.
