Fogdog
Well-Known Member
DummyHere's how Project 538 skews their polling data using trickery & speculation,a detailed look into 538's criteria shows an extremely manipulated poll by design,more importantly it shows their polls lack of credibility by dismissing the crossover vote & injecting speculation .
Fine print quote below explaining 538's methodology based on an inherently flawed polling process .
We expect Clinton to pick up more delegates in states with higher populations of African-Americans, Latinos, seniors, and moderate and conservative Democrats.
We reached these estimates by developing benchmarks for each state based on its demographics. In particular, we used exit polls to determine the racial composition of the Democratic electorate in each state, how each state lines up on a liberal-conservative scale.
END QUOTE .
A true poll does not eliminate the crossover vote,nor does a true poll nail down voters into categories that automatically award a candidate that persons vote based on political party affiliation ,nor does a true poll speculate or predict based on skin color or age,we have four acts of bias become glaringly obvious after reading their methodology .
Their polls are just that. Polls. They don't assume cross dresser voters like you.
Their prediction model uses past history to project results of the election given patterns from earlier elections but you can remove those assumptions from their predictions if you like. They provide a "polls-only" forecast if you want to see that result. It doesn't matter. Trump is toast any way you look at it.
Unless you pick a single poll that shows you what you want to see. You can find something to confirm whatever you want to believe on the internet. '538 doesn't just use results from just one poll, which can be confusing to the weak minded.
Did you know that Trump is a snake person? Yes he is. I found that fact on the internet.