War

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Continued

Amid The Dross, Ukraine Has Gotten Some “Good Stuff”
This isn’t to say that the U.S. hasn’t supplied “good stuff”—complex, front-line weapons, coupled with always in-demand consumables. But, while the new gear gets a lot of headlines, the truly modern systems are few and far between, dwarfed the array of nearly-obsolete U.S. weaponry.

The modern gear gets headlines. But then again, those modern, front-line systems in Ukraine are very few and far between, reflecting a jaundiced assessment of Ukrainian strategies, technical capabilities, and training. That’s why a modern Patriot air defense system may take time to be fielded in Ukraine. In a few years, eight batteries of National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NSAAMS) will arrive. New operators need a lot of training to fully exploit America’s high-tech gear.

Ukraine supporters, when agitating for more and better weaponry point toward Ukraine’s quick exploitation of the 38 U.S. supplied High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS. But these front-line assets are largely “fire-and-forget” platforms, and, as export items, their effectiveness depends more on the end-user’s prowess in finding, reporting and targeting relevant enemy assets.

That is why the U.S. has put a lot of emphasis upon modern command and control assistance. Command post vehicles, including well over 80 different radars of various types, jamming gear, tactical communications systems, SATCOM terminals and surveillance equipment helped Ukraine plug critical capability gaps. And yet, while these tactical tools are high-demand and are, in many cases, considered relatively modern equipment, the U.S. has plenty to offer.

Some high-tech, relatively “experimental” gear has also gone to Ukraine. The U.S. has fed 700 Switchblade kamikaze drones, 1,800 Phoenix Ghost unmanned aerial systems, unmanned costal defense vessels and other interesting trinkets into the war zone. These new high-tech “experiments” do cost money, but, for the U.S., getting an understanding of how these platforms perform on a modern battlefield is invaluable.

Use rates of relatively modern man-portable or other small defensive anti-tank and anti-aircraft systems—1,600 Stinger anti-aircraft missiles, 8,500 Javelin anti-armor missiles, 46,000 other anti-armor systems, as well as 1,500 TOW anti-tank missiles, and 13,000 grenade launchers—have likely outstripped America’s ability to produce the munitions. But, again, this largesse has only made a small dent in America’s supplies—over the years America produced tens of thousands of Stingers and almost 50,000 Javelins.

Another worry is Ukraine’s consumption of modern artillery shells. But this “revelation” is, again, worth an enormous amount to the U.S. military. For years, only a lonely team logisticians and other defense experts worried about America’s habit of underfunding munitions production and weapons sustainment.

Until now, their concerns went unheard by a military more interested in funding shiny new weapons than in refreshing the grubby, dirty, and dangerous industrial base devoted to making munitions. Discovering that the critics were right, and identifying this manufacturing shortfall as a major constraint, enables the U.S. to do something about it now, when U.S. national security is not directly threatened on the battlefield.

While, in total, the amount of military funding sent to Ukraine seems large, in real terms, much of the military aid sent to Ukraine—outside of ammunition—is comprised of systems that the Pentagon has already written off. That is worth remembering when demagogues try to sew public doubts about America’s support of Ukraine.
 

ANC

Well-Known Member

The body of Pavel Antov, 65, was found on Saturday in a pool of blood outside his lodgings in eastern Odisha state, where he was on holiday with three other Russian nationals.

His death came two days after another member of the travel party, Vladimir Bidenov, was found unconscious after an apparent heart attack at the same hotel and could not be revived.
Police said on Tuesday they were reviewing CCTV footage, questioning hotel staff and were waiting on detailed autopsy reports, but so far there was no sign of foul play.
“All possible angles as regards to the deaths of two Russian nationals are being verified,” the regional police chief, Rajesh Pandit, told AFP.
Bidenov’s heart attack was probably caused by binge drinking and a possible drug overdose, he said.
“So far, it seems that Antov accidentally fell from the hotel terrace,” he added. “He was probably disturbed by the death of his friend and went to the hotel terrace and likely fell to his death from there.”
 
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Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
why do the russians seem to think that they're the ones negotiating from power? their army is a fucking joke, their economy is slowly collapsing, already past the point of disaster. Their citizen have to be driven to fight with the whip, many surrendering at the first opportunity.
putin is killing half of his own oligarchs, and partisan groups are killing the other half. i'm not sure he has one single army officer he went into the war with any longer, they've all been removed, either by putin for incompetence, or by the Ukrainians, for pretty much the same reason.
so i guess there won't be any peace, until the Ukrainians completely destroy russia, and forcibly remove any russian presence on their soil. good.
they need a MASSIVE dose of humility forced down their throats. looks like they're going to get it.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-says-any-ukraine-peace-plan-must-include-annexed-regions-2022-12-28/
 

CCGNZ

Well-Known Member
A national crises, caused by many here! :lol: Prices plummet with legalization and when it goes federal they will drop even more, it will become a national market and a commodity. Expect retail prices to drop, they did in Canada and you can buy it from natives cheap, good bud for $40 to $60 CDN an ounce, or $200/lb bulk. Because pot can be mailed, an an ounce is letter rate, the online market legal and illegal thrives too.


A national weed glut is causing prices to plummet and imperiling businesses
In Michigan, the number of cultivators has doubled while prices have dropped by 75 percent.

Michigan has way too much weed.

The number of cannabis grow operations serving the state’s recreational market has almost doubled in the past year. The number of active marijuana plants now exceeds 1.2 million, roughly six times the volume seen in 2020.

By one estimate, Michigan has enough cultivation capacity to supply three times as much weed as the state’s consumers are buying — and that doesn’t include the huge illegal market that by all accounts commands a large share of sales.

Michigan is emblematic of what’s been happening across the country all year — and why the industry’s been in a funk even as legalization spreads: Ill-fated hopes that a Democratic-controlled Washington might loosen decades-old restrictions on the drug have given way to a market glut and plummeting prices that have put scores of businesses at risk of collapse.

In Colorado, prices have dropped by 51 percent over the last two years, according to BDSA, a cannabis analytics firm. The price of a pound of weed has plunged by 36 percent in Massachusetts and 46 percent in Missouri in just the last year, according to LeafLink, which tracks wholesale transactions.

The price drop is even more extreme in Michigan. Over the last two years, the price of weed in the recreational market has plummeted about 75 percent — from nearly $400 an ounce to less than $100.

The slump is messy enough in Michigan that some industry officials are calling for a moratorium on cultivation licenses three years after the state launched a recreational market.

“With the glut of supply, and with so many licenses, it’s setting up businesses for failure,” said Beau Whitney, an economist who focuses on the cannabis industry, speaking of the Michigan market. “Nationally, very few people are making a profit in this industry.”

Those market dynamics are exacerbating an already grim financial outlook for weed companies even as sales are expected to reach roughly $30 billion this year — more than double the volume of sales three years earlier.

Companies face sky-high taxes because they’re treated like illegal narcotics traffickers. And the failure of a bipartisan effort in Congress this month to make it easier for marijuana businesses to access basic banking services means they’ll continue to face exorbitant rates to raise cash to run their operations. As Republicans retake the House, that dynamic is unlikely to change anytime soon.

There is one big winner amid all the market upheaval: weed shoppers.

“What you’re seeing is the market working,” said Michael DiLaura, chief corporate officer for House of Dank, which has 10 retail outlets across Michigan. “The consumer in Michigan is now getting likely the best weed in the world at by far the best prices in the world.”
...
How the hell can indoor operations legal (w/massive taxation) and even illegal (w/all the overhead,equipment/utility costs/nutrients),not to mention labor be turning a profit at these prices,sounds like a massive resetting and thinning out of the market is imminent. Main reason Inever got into the indoor game is the overhead is just ridiculous when factoring in the equipment and electricity.I'm able to play the game growing a pretty big outdoor crop nad maybe quadruple my operational investment basically about 3,500 invested w/a 15,000 return,that's not factoring in my manhours of propagating and caring for everything though as many,many hours are spent here including spraying multiple pest management apps and moving all this under shelter late in harvest w/rain looming. All this said once I can't turn it over for a reasonable price I'm done as my summers have turned into a endless grind of work
to the point that I dread the summer beatdown,my physical job,my garden,my yard and house chores, along w/my workout routines feels like a 4 month deathmarch at times,wish I was 37 not 57 LOL.
 

cannabineer

Ursus marijanus
How the hell can indoor operations legal (w/massive taxation) and even illegal (w/all the overhead,equipment/utility costs/nutrients),not to mention labor be turning a profit at these prices,sounds like a massive resetting and thinning out of the market is imminent. Main reason Inever got into the indoor game is the overhead is just ridiculous when factoring in the equipment and electricity.I'm able to play the game growing a pretty big outdoor crop nad maybe quadruple my operational investment basically about 3,500 invested w/a 15,000 return,that's not factoring in my manhours of propagating and caring for everything though as many,many hours are spent here including spraying multiple pest management apps and moving all this under shelter late in harvest w/rain looming. All this said once I can't turn it over for a reasonable price I'm done as my summers have turned into a endless grind of work
to the point that I dread the summer beatdown,my physical job,my garden,my yard and house chores, along w/my workout routines feels like a 4 month deathmarch at times,wish I was 37 not 57 LOL.
and that is how Standard Oil grew huge.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
How the hell can indoor operations legal (w/massive taxation) and even illegal (w/all the overhead,equipment/utility costs/nutrients),not to mention labor be turning a profit at these prices,sounds like a massive resetting and thinning out of the market is imminent. Main reason Inever got into the indoor game is the overhead is just ridiculous when factoring in the equipment and electricity.I'm able to play the game growing a pretty big outdoor crop nad maybe quadruple my operational investment basically about 3,500 invested w/a 15,000 return,that's not factoring in my manhours of propagating and caring for everything though as many,many hours are spent here including spraying multiple pest management apps and moving all this under shelter late in harvest w/rain looming. All this said once I can't turn it over for a reasonable price I'm done as my summers have turned into a endless grind of work
to the point that I dread the summer beatdown,my physical job,my garden,my yard and house chores, along w/my workout routines feels like a 4 month deathmarch at times,wish I was 37 not 57 LOL.
Those are the possible implications of federal legalization, much will depend on how the law is written. A bedding plant business for spring might be possible, but it's not legal here, sell clones for people to grow in their backyards etc. If they allow it to be mailed by USPS, then it will be a national market with online dispensaries, legal and illegal, like here in Canada. Have a close look at the federal law when they pass one and they will eventually.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Wars have unintended consequences and modern wars can cause rapid political and social change. Russia's invasion of Ukraine will leave a powder trail back to the powder kegs in Moscow that has been lite and is already burning. Vlad fucked himself and Russia and I expect the Ukrainians are gonna make big gains this winter when the ground freezes and it will leave the Russian military in a dire situation and the morons on TV back in Moscow freaking out.

Every level of Ukrainian society is pitching in on this watershed moment in their history and it must end with the destruction of Russian military and economic power. They will be surrounded by enemies, those who know them well, in an ever shrinking empire slowly collapsing, rail and road links to the Asian east would be cut by separatists or others. I expect this war will go on for awhile and won't end in Ukraine but in Belarus.
 

ANC

Well-Known Member
Russia won't negotiate under terms of Zelensky's peace plan, minister of lies, Lavrov says
From CNN’s Irene Nasser and Josh Pennington
Moscow will not negotiate with Kyiv on the basis of President Volodymyr Zelensky’s proposed peace formula, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said, according to state-media on Thursday.
Lavrov told state-run RIA Novosti that Zelensky's idea of driving Russian troops out from the Donbas, Crimea, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson with help from the West was "an illusion."
He also dismissed the idea that Kyiv would achieve reparations or that Russia would appear in international courts.
“We will not talk to anyone under such conditions," Lavrov said.
Lavrov stressed however, that Russia remains open to diplomatic solutions to end the war.
Peace plan: Zelensky presented Ukraine’s 10-point peace formula to world leaders at the Group of 20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, in November.
The steps includes a path to nuclear safety, food security, a special tribunal for alleged Russian war crimes, and a final peace treaty with Moscow. He also urged G20 leaders to use all their power to “make Russia abandon nuclear threats” and implement a price cap on energy imported from Moscow.
During his speech to the US Congress last week, Zelensky claimed US President Joe Biden had endorsed the plan.
 

CCGNZ

Well-Known Member
Wars have unintended consequences and modern wars can cause rapid political and social change. Russia's invasion of Ukraine will leave a powder trail back to the powder kegs in Moscow that has been lite and is already burning. Vlad fucked himself and Russia and I expect the Ukrainians are gonna make big gains this winter when the ground freezes and it will leave the Russian military in a dire situation and the morons on TV back in Moscow freaking out.

Every level of Ukrainian society is pitching in on this watershed moment in their history and it must end with the destruction of Russian military and economic power. They will be surrounded by enemies, those who know them well, in an ever shrinking empire slowly collapsing, rail and road links to the Asian east would be cut by separatists or others. I expect this war will go on for awhile and won't end in Ukraine but in Belarus.
Let's not overlook the increasingly annoying role the Iranian gov. is playing,they have enabled this Russian attack on Ukrainian infrastructure w/these cheap ass drones when Putin was running low on armaments. Next,Iran will supply ballistic missiles to the Russians and the shipping methods used are very difficult to interdict.Meanwhile the Iranian nuke program is probably going to grow in big leaps w/Russian assistance as a quid pro quo to show Vlad's appreciation. The Mossad is probably gearing up for some operations in Iran as we speak.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
These young men have a lot of sack,hopefully they get out early when the Belarusian puppet gov. falls,ordinary Belarusian's have absolutely no beef w/Ukraine and I'd bet at least 50% of their army would mutiny if ordered to actively engage in this war.
If they attack Ukraine they will be in trouble internally and externally, the government is not popular and they get a lot more western news than Russians and are more European in attitude. Putin already tried to get them to attack several times and the army refused so they gave away all their reserve ammunition and equipment for the war in Ukraine months ago. The north is defended by battle hardened territorials for the most part, a lot were army veterans, they are well trained and equipped. The ground in front of their defensive positions is well prepared and they will probably know or guess the Russian plan of attack and timetable. I figure the Russians and or Belarussians would be lucky to advance 10km through the "killing zone".

It is at best a diversion to draw regular troops away from other battles, it won't work, the territorials will make sure of that, but there will be an army reserve close by too. Putin has trouble equipping the troops they have now, who are freezing their asses for lack of winter gear. When the ground freezes the Ukrainians will move and already are in a limited way, but they are mostly chewing up untrained Russian troops. They can't defend themselves, much less maneuver or use combined arms, they can neither advance nor retreat. It all depends on where and how hard the ground freezes a few inches of frost in the ground changes things a lot.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Let's not overlook the increasingly annoying role the Iranian gov. is playing,they have enabled this Russian attack on Ukrainian infrastructure w/these cheap ass drones when Putin was running low on armaments. Next,Iran will supply ballistic missiles to the Russians and the shipping methods used are very difficult to interdict.Meanwhile the Iranian nuke program is probably going to grow in big leaps w/Russian assistance as a quid pro quo to show Vlad's appreciation. The Mossad is probably gearing up for some operations in Iran as we speak.
I figure nukes are the price for drones, but the holes in the sanction systems are being plugged and it will get harder for them to obtain parts. There have been changes in law, regulations and lately enforcement, Joe recently started a taskforce to plug any holes and allied help is essential. Israel was reluctant to come on board in the war on Ukraine's side, so they might be waiting for evidence of quid pro quo involving nukes. If they find out the Russians are supplying nuclear technology to Iran, I would expect a reaction and more support for Ukraine. If Russia were to arm Iran with nukes, Israel might arm Ukraine likewise, put a knife at our throat and we will put one at yours!
 
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