How long until it's over?

How long will it take for the World to come back from COVID-19

  • 3 months

    Votes: 3 20.0%
  • 6 months

    Votes: 1 6.7%
  • 9 months

    Votes: 2 13.3%
  • 12 months

    Votes: 2 13.3%
  • Never

    Votes: 7 46.7%

  • Total voters
    15
I'm betting on a year at least until this maelstrom is contained, that will forever change Human interaction in the 21st century, like I'm not shaking your hand anymore, fuck that shit, you are a possible contaminant.
It's definitely an amazing time to be alive, that's for sure,
So, what do you think?
Two months, six months or nine until life as we knew it resumes?
I'm betting on a year at least before there is any sense at all of normalcy coming back to the World, if ever again.
Oh, my Indian American friend Neil that owned my local convenience store, like 1000 meters from my home is in ICU now as a result of COVID-19.(wish him well :) )
Hopefully he will be the last person that I know that will get it, but somehow I don't think that will be the case.
To give the question in the thread title more of an answer:

I'd have to assume that what you mean by "it's over" is that the whole thing is behind us and there's effective treatment and a vaccine. That will be at least 16 months, probably closer to two years. A vaccinologist at Oxford thinks it could be as soon as September of this year, and she's 80% sure that her vaccine will work. Trails are about to start. The Moderna vax will take at least 16 months. So that's the finish line. However, the pain will be felt for a long time. The economy is in a very dire situation with global supply chains threatened. Famines will almost certainly occur in many parts of the world. The United States will probably never regain much of it's influence. The balance of power in Asia is about to shift dramatically as the only viable fleet in the West Pacific now belongs to the PRC and they're already using it to threaten Taiwan. I don't think that life as you knew it will ever fully return. Supply chains, labor forces, tourism, travel, and public life will likely be permanently changed.

The US federal government could even collapse.
 
The Great Lockdown: Worst Economic Downturn Since the Great Depression
This recovery in 2021 is only partial as the level of economic activity is projected to remain below the level we had projected for 2021, before the virus hit. The cumulative loss to global GDP over 2020 and 2021 from the pandemic crisis could be around 9 trillion dollars, greater than the economies of Japan and Germany, combined.
WEO-Projections-table-Chart-APR-20.png
 
 
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