Fogdog
Well-Known Member
If your belief is that China and Russia will cooperate to invade Ukraine, then with that untested axiom in place, yeah, together they could probably weather whatever the US and NATO alliance can do. Together, they can pretty much rampage across that tiny nation. I don't know what the Chinese government gets out of that, and so that needs explaining.Now with the backing of China, I think Putin will take the opportunity, a once in a lifetime opportunity, to expand into Ukraine.
China has agreed to allowing a 40% increase in gas supply thru the Trans-Siberian pipeline, almost negating the effects of an EU embargo on Russian gas.
1st thing, and I don't think but know that Trump, as fucking always fucked it up & started this ball rolling.,
Before Trump, things weren't great between Russia/China (we've been fucking with them both for decades, deservedly so), & the US, but nothing like today.
Trump allowed Russia to take Crimea because he's a loud-mouthed cunt that Russia laughed at because Putin knew the very obvious fact that Trump was a loud-mouthed cunt & all they had to do was kiss Trumps ass/tell him he's a genius & give him a soccer ball and they could & did do whatever the fuck they wanted.
And then there's China, whom in their eyes was insulted by Trump's ineffective tariff, and one thing you do not do is cause them to lose face.
They will not forgive or forget.
So that fucking idiot Trump set the stage for all of this, the threat of the invasion of Ukraine & creating a situation that united our two main adversaries against us.
This is fucking huge.
Oh yea, & then there is the little matter of Taiwan.
If Russia takes Ukraine, say goodbye to Nationalist China.
The allure/opportunity of taking both Ukraine & Taiwan I think will be too good to pass up.
If I was a madman like Putin I would invade
He'll never get another opportunity like this.
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That kind of vertical alliance between two large absolutist authoritarian regimes that are also in competition with each other is not very stable. So I'm not going there with you. I hope we can agree to disagree on whether or not this is an important topic of discussion.
I do agree with you about Trump. Trump was Putin's and his oligarch's money launderer. He was always their puppet. He's not in power now, though he did manage to weaken NATO. I think Putin is testing the strength of the NATO and is finding he stepped in it. He's dangerous because he can't afford to look foolish, so, I concede there is a chance that he does something violent for the sake of appearance.
There are many other possibilities that would be bad for Ukraine. For example, with Russia's help, the separatist movement inside Ukraine manages to take control and split away from the majority of the country. Then they can join with Russia. Whatever happens, this isn't a good thing. But I don't think the majority in Ukraine want to be under Russian control. Russia isn't able to mount the kind of effort required to put them there either.
Biden, on the other hand can make good political hay out of all of this and I think that is his strategy.
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