DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Yep, the polls pretty much prove the point, no sympathy for the Devil, the dumb cunt did himself is the consensus.
Trump is going to lose in November
- Thread starter Fogdog
- Start date
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
61% of Americans voted in 2016, What percentage this time around? 80% or 90%? Figure many of the new votes are for Trump? Figure many of the 2016 votes have changed against Trump?
It looks like a blow out foggy, at least I hope, you folks sure need it. The senate majority could be much larger than expected, there are a lot of red seats in play now.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
Since you've already voted, put your feet up, pack a bowl (or two) and watch the show. Election night will be a tense one but I think you have the reserves to make it.
I get my ballot in the mail in a couple of weeks. It will be in a drop box (not mailed) the very next day.
Thirty days, man. Trump is going to lose. The only uncertainty is when Trump will concede.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
We'll see about the Senate. A Democratic controlled Senate is less certain than seeing President Biden get sworn in on Jan 20.
This site give Democrats a 63% chance of winning the Senate (slightly favored):
2020 Senate Election Forecast
Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 Senate elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
I prefer those odds to what Republicans have of keeping control of the Senate but not holding my breath.
MickFoster
Well-Known Member
I don't want to be a naysayer people........I just don't want to be over confident. The poles don't vote. I hope that there are enough people fed up with the circus to go out and vote.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
I'm saying it with my chest out. This is not 2016. Over the past four years Trump has done nothing to win over voters who doubted or disliked him. Ever since he took office he's only hardened disapproval of him. The cake is baked and all that remains is for the blue colored President Joe Biden frosting to be applied.
Trump is going to lose in November.
Last edited:
MickFoster
Well-Known Member
I'm with you 100% brother.
I know there's a lot of enthusiasm.......I just hope everyone votes.
I'm a worry wart considering last time.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
I have PTSD over what happened that night. It's just that 2020 is nothing like 2016.
shrxhky420
Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
The ground is shifting under their feet, Donald and the GOP's downward spiral seems to be gaining momentum. I saw one national poll today where Trump was down to 38%. He is out of the hospital tomorrow and onto a string of reckless behavior while he is still infectious, it will cost him more votes. I figure Joe has long coattails, especially in the red states, at least I hope he does.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
We are getting into panic territory for the GOP, this has down ballot implications, especially if the lead grows. This poll was taken before Donald came down with covid, I think this will cost him even more support and Christ knows what else will happen or come out before election day. Biden only needs a 6% lead to have a 99% probability of winning the presidency.
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Poll Finds Biden With 14 Point Lead Over Trump | NBC Nightly News
Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has nearly doubled, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. While the president is hospitalized for coronavirus, Biden is set to travel to Miami on Monday for a town hall with NBC’s Lester Holt.
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Poll Finds Biden With 14 Point Lead Over Trump | NBC Nightly News
Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has nearly doubled, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. While the president is hospitalized for coronavirus, Biden is set to travel to Miami on Monday for a town hall with NBC’s Lester Holt.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Meidas Touch3 hours ago
We need your help on two things tonight: we need to raise $100,000 to put these billboards up and we need you to reply and tell us where you want them placed. Please pass it on, reply & chip in: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/421...
unless he's physically removed; his twitter fingers broken, he will continue..i'm hoping for a nice covid death to save us the misery i know that's coming.
call Bloomberg he has plenty and willing to spend.
Meidas Touch3 hours ago
We need your help on two things tonight: we need to raise $100,000 to put these billboards up and we need you to reply and tell us where you want them placed. Please pass it on, reply & chip in: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/421...
hanimmal
Well-Known Member
But Biden is a old white guy (who is not a self proclaimed socialist), I think you underestimate the percentage of older people in our nation not being willing to think of a female as being in charge.
Trump really wanted Bernie or Warren.
tangerinegreen555
Well-Known Member
Remember when the White House still had a sense of humor?
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
Time for a detailed look at Florida, if it is gonna be settled on election night, it will be settled here.
Donald Trump Desperately Needs This One Battleground State
Donald Trump Desperately Needs This One Battleground State
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
I thought the debate would cost Donald a couple of points in the polls, but clearly he set himself on fire in public while holding a can of gasoline. I wonder what the post covid diagnosis and shit show will reveal next week, I tell ya folks Donald is deep in the hole and using dynamite on the bedrock of his base. Joe was wise to stand back and laugh as Donald ignited his own funeral pyre. The next debate is a townhall and citizens will be asking the questions, remotely, Trump and his people are crawling with covid and can't be trusted.
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www.nbcnews.com
Biden's national lead over Trump jumps to 14 points after debate in NBC News/WSJ poll
Joe Biden's lead has nearly doubled since Tuesday's debate, with voters saying by 2-to-1 that he has the better temperament to be president.
WASHINGTON — Joe Biden's national lead over President Donald Trump nearly doubled after Tuesday's presidential debate, with voters saying by 2-to-1 that Biden has the better temperament to be president, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
The poll was conducted in the two days after the unruly and insult-filled debate Tuesday but before Trump tested positive for Covid-19 and was hospitalized Friday at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.
Biden is now ahead of Trump by 14 points among registered voters, 53 percent to 39 percent — up from his 8-point lead in the previous poll, before the debate.
The 14-point advantage represents Biden's largest lead in the NBC News/WSJ poll during the entire campaign; his previous high was 11 points in July.
"The clear loser from the debate was Donald Trump," said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies.
"And at least for the short term, this has damaged his standing against Joe Biden," Horwitt added.
But McInturff, the Republican pollster, cautioned that the survey could represent a "shock to the system" right after a consequential debate. (Democrats, for example, hold a 9-point advantage in party identification in the poll, compared to 5- to 6-point advantages in previous ones.)
As a result, McInturff said, the race could return to the stable 8- to 9-point margin it has essentially been at over the last several months — which is still a difficult place for an incumbent four weeks before Election Day.
The biggest declines for Trump were among seniors (who now back Biden by 62 percent to 35 percent) and suburban women (58 percent to 33 percent).
And men 50 years and older moved to a 1-point advantage for Biden in the latest poll, compared to a 13-point advantage for Trump in the pre-debate NBC News/WSJ poll.
Voters say Biden did a better job at the debate by 2-to-1
Forty-nine percent of voters say Biden did a better job at Tuesday's debate, which was marked by insults, interruptions, falsehoods and personal attacks — most, although not all, coming from the president.
That's compared with 24 percent who say Trump did better. Another 17 percent say neither did a better job.
In addition, 19 percent of voters say they're more likely to support Biden after the debate, compared to 6 percent who say they're more likely to back Trump.
The vast majority — 73 percent — say the debate made no difference in how they'd vote.
Among the 49 percent who say Biden did a better job, many voters cited Trump's performance when asked to describe what they thought was important at the debate.
"Basically, last night was a snapshot of the last three and a half years. Not being able to say anything about white supremacists, being negative and being unpresidential," one respondent said.
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Biden's national lead over Trump jumps to 14 points after debate in new NBC News/WSJ poll
Joe Biden's lead has nearly doubled since Tuesday's debate, with voters saying by 2-to-1 that he has the better temperament to be president.
Biden's national lead over Trump jumps to 14 points after debate in NBC News/WSJ poll
Joe Biden's lead has nearly doubled since Tuesday's debate, with voters saying by 2-to-1 that he has the better temperament to be president.
WASHINGTON — Joe Biden's national lead over President Donald Trump nearly doubled after Tuesday's presidential debate, with voters saying by 2-to-1 that Biden has the better temperament to be president, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
The poll was conducted in the two days after the unruly and insult-filled debate Tuesday but before Trump tested positive for Covid-19 and was hospitalized Friday at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.
Biden is now ahead of Trump by 14 points among registered voters, 53 percent to 39 percent — up from his 8-point lead in the previous poll, before the debate.
The 14-point advantage represents Biden's largest lead in the NBC News/WSJ poll during the entire campaign; his previous high was 11 points in July.
"The clear loser from the debate was Donald Trump," said Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies.
"And at least for the short term, this has damaged his standing against Joe Biden," Horwitt added.
But McInturff, the Republican pollster, cautioned that the survey could represent a "shock to the system" right after a consequential debate. (Democrats, for example, hold a 9-point advantage in party identification in the poll, compared to 5- to 6-point advantages in previous ones.)
As a result, McInturff said, the race could return to the stable 8- to 9-point margin it has essentially been at over the last several months — which is still a difficult place for an incumbent four weeks before Election Day.
The biggest declines for Trump were among seniors (who now back Biden by 62 percent to 35 percent) and suburban women (58 percent to 33 percent).
And men 50 years and older moved to a 1-point advantage for Biden in the latest poll, compared to a 13-point advantage for Trump in the pre-debate NBC News/WSJ poll.
Voters say Biden did a better job at the debate by 2-to-1
Forty-nine percent of voters say Biden did a better job at Tuesday's debate, which was marked by insults, interruptions, falsehoods and personal attacks — most, although not all, coming from the president.
That's compared with 24 percent who say Trump did better. Another 17 percent say neither did a better job.
In addition, 19 percent of voters say they're more likely to support Biden after the debate, compared to 6 percent who say they're more likely to back Trump.
The vast majority — 73 percent — say the debate made no difference in how they'd vote.
Among the 49 percent who say Biden did a better job, many voters cited Trump's performance when asked to describe what they thought was important at the debate.
"Basically, last night was a snapshot of the last three and a half years. Not being able to say anything about white supremacists, being negative and being unpresidential," one respondent said.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
I knew that woman learned about civilization from somewhere... Too bad about the disco though, we were all young and stupid I suppose.
www.nytimes.com
MONTREAL — There were heirs to Canadian fortunes who lived in hillside mansions and arrived at their high school in luxury cars.
There were children of Caribbean immigrants who commuted by bus or subway from a historically Black neighborhood.
There were Anglophones, Francophones and kids from Chinatown.
And then there was Kamala Harris, an extroverted American teenager who had moved to Montreal from California at age 12, dreamed of becoming a lawyer and liked dancing to Diana Ross and Michael Jackson.
Thrown into one of Montreal’s most diverse public high schools, the young Ms. Harris — whose father was from Jamaica and mother from India — identified as African-American, her friends from high school recalled. At the same time, they said, she deftly navigated the competing racial and social divisions at the school.
“In high school, you were either in the white or the Black group,” said Wanda Kagan, her best friend from Westmount High School, who had a white mother and an African-American father. “We didn’t fit exactly into either, so we made ourselves fit into both.”
The future senator spent her formative adolescent years in a multicultural environment typical of many Canadian public schools. As she makes history as the first woman of color on a presidential ticket, Canadians have claimed her as a native daughter, seeing her as an embodiment of the country’s progressive politics.
more...
In Canada, Kamala Harris, a Disco-Dancing Teenager, Yearned for Home (Published 2020)
Senator Harris spent her adolescent years in Canada. Friends say being a California girl at a multicultural public high school in Montreal helped shape her.
MONTREAL — There were heirs to Canadian fortunes who lived in hillside mansions and arrived at their high school in luxury cars.
There were children of Caribbean immigrants who commuted by bus or subway from a historically Black neighborhood.
There were Anglophones, Francophones and kids from Chinatown.
And then there was Kamala Harris, an extroverted American teenager who had moved to Montreal from California at age 12, dreamed of becoming a lawyer and liked dancing to Diana Ross and Michael Jackson.
Thrown into one of Montreal’s most diverse public high schools, the young Ms. Harris — whose father was from Jamaica and mother from India — identified as African-American, her friends from high school recalled. At the same time, they said, she deftly navigated the competing racial and social divisions at the school.
“In high school, you were either in the white or the Black group,” said Wanda Kagan, her best friend from Westmount High School, who had a white mother and an African-American father. “We didn’t fit exactly into either, so we made ourselves fit into both.”
The future senator spent her formative adolescent years in a multicultural environment typical of many Canadian public schools. As she makes history as the first woman of color on a presidential ticket, Canadians have claimed her as a native daughter, seeing her as an embodiment of the country’s progressive politics.
more...