i don't think this war would be anything like the Ukraine war...i highly doubt China is in the same state of decay that corruption put the russians in.
they may not have the very best equipment, but what they have isn't ww2 era leftovers they have to clean the rust off of to even recognize.
https://www.mylifeelsewhere.com/country-size-comparison/taiwan/china
Taiwan has state of the art defenses, but they have a huge coastline to defend, and any landing on any part of it then negates those coastal defenses in that area.
China's navy isn't a joke.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2021/11/05/yes-china-has-more-warships-than-the-usa-thats-because-chinese-ships-are-small/?sh=2dffbb5f611d
China can and would take Taiwan, is a day or two, if they decided they wanted it enough. the conversation so far didn't even call in China's coastal missile batteries, or their airforce...
Ukraine pulled the biggest motherfucking rabbit in history out of their ass, and the russians are the ones that were responsible for it, through incredible gross incompetence. don't expect China to hand Taiwan the same kind of gift.
This is a poor analysis and even worse as a comparison with Russia's "Special Military Operation". China has flown ever greater training sorties near Taiwan's airspace and naval exercizes, basically pounding their chest just in the hopes that the US will take them seriously. If there is one thing the People's Subjugation Army (who have they ever liberated?) would like to have the world consider is that they are a real military that should be taken seriously.
Imagine having one of the biggest military forces in the world and struggling to be taken seriously.
They lack viable anti-sub warfare.
The J-20 (of which there are less than 2 dozen) are easily detectable.
Their single operational carrier is less capable than any of Japan's "helicopter carriers".
Their subs make more noise with the engines off than US subs make at full speed.
Their missiles can not damage surface fleets, even near their shores, unless nuclear armed.
I could go on listing such bullet points but the fact of the matter is that if Xi wants Taiwan, he had better study the Normandy landings and reconsider what he can do with the 3 amphibs at his disposal. Red China has been threatening to conquer Formosa since long before Mao's son was killed in Korea while stealing from the mess hall. Theyyhave not taken the island for one reason only. They cannot.
You just have to understand the passive aggressive approach to conquest they have always epitomized. They want to "win without fighting" because they cannot win by actually fighting. They are terrible at fighting. The only advantage they could have in a fight is their complete lack of regard for human life and rights. In the many centuries of their history this has never changed the reality that it is repleat with military defeat. They have literally been losing wars, nigh invariably, for centuries, in their own turf. The only real exception was Tibet.
They make advances right up to the point that their adversaries realize that they are at war and decide to defend themselves. The wolf-wankers continue to this very day. As soon as open combat is met, Sun Tzu should be disregarded. China can only win as long as there is no war.
War is not art.
Have him dragged from the Kremlin drooling and raving in straight jacket and then off to a mental hospital in Siberia.
