War

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
It looks like the Europeans are dealing with it. They must prepare for any eventuality, and it might be why congress passed a recent law that made it impossible for the POTUS to pull out of NATO without congresses say so. I personally don't think it's a possibility, but I don't have a full-scale war on my borders. Joe has inspired a lot of confidence though and if he is reelected, he will inspire more, Vlad might just pack up and leave Ukraine if Joe and the democrats win in November. If Trump is disqualified the attitude should change a bit.
No, Vlad will not just pack up and leave Ukraine without serious loss of life and equipment.

I'm just wondering how long US aid can continue now that we are in the last days of US funding. The authorization ended Dec 30 and the remaining $1B has been obligated. Ukraine can't wait until after the election.
 

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
Have you ever wondered just what a KBG agent is capable of ?

https://spyscape.com/article/inside-putins-mind-the-pyschology-of-the-russian-leader-revealed

Fiona Hill, senior director for European and Russian affairs on the US National Security Council from 2017 to 2019, believes Putin looked at the US and the world in disarray and decided he could do whatever he wanted: “Because we were just a bunch of idiots. And he’d exploited and stirred everything up in 2016 and we continued to be oblivious. We were all running around being very high on ourselves, full of it, and we were just gone from the scene.”
A serious amount of money was sent along with the psy ops. Putin wasn't doing that just for good relations.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
No, Vlad will not just pack up and leave Ukraine without serious loss of life and equipment.

I'm just wondering how long US aid can continue now that we are in the last days of US funding. The authorization ended Dec 30 and the remaining $1B has been obligated. Ukraine can't wait until after the election.
Good I think the idea is to destroy as much of his equipment as possible.

There is talk of a deal on funding the government and Ukraine soon a comprehensive deal that the magats are livid over.

 

Fogdog

Well-Known Member

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
It's been separated out from the budget talks.
The republicans are down to a one seat majority and the democrats think it is VERY important and so do a lot of republicans, and it is an election year. It is all about trying to deny Biden a "victory" over Ukraine and vanquishing the Russians. It is still on the table and one reason the magats are not happy, there are still Russia hawks among the republicans, and this is a divisive issue for them.
 

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
The republicans are down to a one seat majority and the democrats think it is VERY important and so do a lot of republicans, and it is an election year. It is all about trying to deny Biden a "victory" over Ukraine and vanquishing the Russians. It is still on the table and one reason the magats are not happy, there are still Russia hawks among the republicans, and this is a divisive issue for them.
^pure speculation


A shutdown remains very possible, with a host of thorny policy issues for congressional leaders to work through in extremely limited time, including conservative demands to attach GOP border reforms to spending legislation and Republican ultimatums holding up Biden’s separate request for more than $100 billion to aid Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.

We know that Russian money has corrupted the Republican Party. US support for Ukraine the one issue that can't be negotiated by this GOP and keep the dirty money flowing into their hands. This affects every MAGA leader in that party, especially Trump.

I don't know where this is going to go but I'm unwilling to speculate in the same grandiose fashion that others are willing to do. The MAGA base is already on board, so there is little political cost to the GOP fat cats who have been bought by nearly unlimited oligarch cash. GOP Congress's demands regarding the border as their requirement for freeing up funds for Ukraine are nothing less than a nuisance bid that is intended to insult and not a serious offer. It's win-win for them on this issue. They keep Putin happy by throttling aid to Ukraine and thereby keep the dirty money flowing into Trump's and their own accounts while maintaining an image of "standing firm" over border security. That is my own cynical analysis.

Less cynically, the following was written by Adam Kinzinger in August of last year regarding his party's turn toward supporting Russia over Ukraine.

Opinion: Why Republicans are turning against aid to Ukraine

Opinion by Adam Kinzinger
Updated 3:12 PM EDT, Mon August 7, 2023


The following was extracted from the above opinion piece. His logic is nearly impossible for me to follow but somehow makes sense in the Trump world of politics:

Before Donald Trump, Republicans were not the type to abandon a fight for a strategic partner’s democracy, handing a potential victory to Russian President Vladimir Putin. We were the warriors of the Cold War who brought about the collapse of the Soviet Union.

With Trump, who has embraced Putin, some Republicans are learning to let go of America’s role as the bulwark of democracy and freedom. These Republicans are choosing, instead, the tragic isolationism of those who opposed joining the fight against Hitler. Back then, radio priest Charles Coughlin had a powerful voice among do-nothings. Today, they find comfort on Fox News.

Trump has framed his position in a way that is typical of his petty approach to policy. He said he would threaten to halt war funding to get documents from the federal investigation into the business dealings of President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter. The US should “refuse to authorize a single additional shipment of our depleted weapons stockpiles,” Trump said last month, until “the FBI, DOJ and IRS hand over” evidence in congressional Republicans’ Biden family investigation. He also has said the US should prioritize school safety over Ukraine aid.

The idea that, somehow, school safety and Hunter Biden should have anything to do with helping Ukraine is, on the surface, absurd. But in making these statements, the former president pressed on two hot-button issues that would make his followers take notice.


Kinzinger ends his piece with this:

With the rank and file of my party losing faith in the fight for democracy, I see yet another example of how the conservatism I once knew, and that America relied on, is disappearing.

Gone is the party of Reagan, which was steadfast in its stand against tyranny. In its place is rising a GOP that seems immune to the world’s need for American leadership and uninterested in the suffering of a country we should aid until the fight is over.


So, I don't disagree with DIY in that their strategy to throttle Ukraine is a loser with the majority in this country and won't help them in the upcoming election. But it doesn't hurt them either. Their base are completely on board with allowing Russia to commit genocide in Ukraine because -- "Hunter Biden" :wall: . But let us not forget that Trump was a nobody until he got in deep with Russian oligarch money in the late 2000's/early 2010's. Let's not forget that Russian agents were embedded in Trump's Congress in the 2017's, that the NRA has become an arm of Russian intelligence and that somehow, the GOP and Trump kept their political hopes alive after Jan 6 through PACs that do not have the same reporting requirements that political campaigns have.

Seems as if Trump is following through on this deal:

A Back-Channel Plan for Ukraine and Russia, Courtesy of Trump Associates
Feb. 19, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/19/us/politics/donald-trump-ukraine-russia.html

Foreign governments have been advancing their cause by feeding corrupt officials in other countries for thousands of years. The kind of thing that Putin is doing to Ukraine by taking advantage of corrupt leaders in the US follows an ancient playbook.

For these reasons I'm not optimistic about Ukraine this year. I'm not certain that the corrupt elements will prevail but am simply waiting to see more details than what I've read thus far. I think US funding to support Ukraine is in dire straits. But I could be wrong.
 
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printer

Well-Known Member
Wonder if that is old news, has been on and off again a couple of times.
Poland reaches deal with farmers to call off blockade of Ukraine border crossing
Polish farmers ended a blockade of a Poland-Ukraine border crossing after reaching an agreement with Warsaw that met their demands, defusing a dispute that had become an early test of the new government of Prime Minister Donald Tusk.

Newly appointed Polish Agriculture Minister Czesław Siekierski signed the deal with Polish farmers blockading the Medyka-Shehyni border crossing with Ukraine late Saturday. The protest — which started over a month ago — was called off on December 24 following an agreement with the government, but it resumed on Wednesday amid farmers’ mistrust over the deal.

Farmers accused the new Polish government of failing to defend them against Ukrainian grain imports, but also demanded a series of financial support measures. Saturday's deal finally implemented those financial demands — which include launching corn production subsidies, maintaining agricultural taxes at 2023 levels and increasing preferential liquidity loans — but didn't include restrictions on Ukraine imports.

The measures "will be implemented after the legislative process is completed and acceptance by the European Commission is obtained," the Polish Agriculture Ministry said.

Despite calling off the blockade, protesting farmers said that the "most important" demand now is "to limit the inflow of goods from Ukraine." EU Agriculture Commissioner Janusz Wojciechowski told Polish media on Friday that he would demand an EU-wide restriction on items like sugar, eggs and poultry from Ukraine.

"These imports are growing in a way that threatens the competitiveness of the EU sector, including Polish poultry and sugar production," he said. The Polish commissioner has already clashed with other members of the European Commission over full trade liberalization with Ukraine, which the EU executive is expected to recommend as early as next week.

"Ukraine is such a country that they just want to take, take, take, and give nothing back," Roman Kondrów, one of the protest leaders, told POLITICO by phone on Thursday, warning about the risks of allowing the country to join the EU without restrictions.

In the meantime, Polish truckers are continuing to protest as they want the government to end an EU-Ukraine agreement that liberalized road transport rules in an effort to help the Ukrainian economy, crippled by the Russian invasion.

Underpinning the narratives of both groups are doomsday scenarios about the impact on Poland of Ukraine one day becoming a member of the EU. At a summit in December, EU leaders agreed to open accession talks with Ukraine.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
^pure speculation


A shutdown remains very possible, with a host of thorny policy issues for congressional leaders to work through in extremely limited time, including conservative demands to attach GOP border reforms to spending legislation and Republican ultimatums holding up Biden’s separate request for more than $100 billion to aid Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.


We know that Russian money has corrupted the Republican Party. This is the one issue that can't be negotiated and keep the dirty money flowing into their hands. This affects everybody, especially Trump.

I don't know where this is going to go but I'm unwilling to speculate in the same grandiose fashion that others are willing to do. The MAGA base is already on board, so there is little political cost to the GOP fat cats who have been bought by nearly unlimited oligarch cash. GOP Congress's demands regarding the border as their requirement for freeing up funds for Ukraine are nothing less than a nuisance bid that is intended to insult and not a serious offer. It's win-win for them on this issue. They keep Putin happy by throttling aid to Ukraine and thereby keep the dirty money flowing into Trump's and their own accounts while maintaining an image of "standing firm" over border security. That is my own cynical analysis.

Less cynically, the following was written by Adam Kinzinger in August of last year regarding his party's turn toward supporting Russia over Ukraine.

Opinion: Why Republicans are turning against aid to Ukraine

Opinion by Adam Kinzinger
Updated 3:12 PM EDT, Mon August 7, 2023


The following was extracted from the above opinion piece. His logic is nearly impossible for me to follow but somehow makes sense in the Trump world of politics:

Before Donald Trump, Republicans were not the type to abandon a fight for a strategic partner’s democracy, handing a potential victory to Russian President Vladimir Putin. We were the warriors of the Cold War who brought about the collapse of the Soviet Union.

With Trump, who has embraced Putin, some Republicans are learning to let go of America’s role as the bulwark of democracy and freedom. These Republicans are choosing, instead, the tragic isolationism of those who opposed joining the fight against Hitler. Back then, radio priest Charles Coughlin had a powerful voice among do-nothings. Today, they find comfort on Fox News.

Trump has framed his position in a way that is typical of his petty approach to policy. He said he would threaten to halt war funding to get documents from the federal investigation into the business dealings of President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter. The US should “refuse to authorize a single additional shipment of our depleted weapons stockpiles,” Trump said last month, until “the FBI, DOJ and IRS hand over” evidence in congressional Republicans’ Biden family investigation. He also has said the US should prioritize school safety over Ukraine aid.

The idea that, somehow, school safety and Hunter Biden should have anything to do with helping Ukraine is, on the surface, absurd. But in making these statements, the former president pressed on two hot-button issues that would make his followers take notice.


Kinzinger ends his piece with this:

With the rank and file of my party losing faith in the fight for democracy, I see yet another example of how the conservatism I once knew, and that America relied on, is disappearing.

Gone is the party of Reagan, which was steadfast in its stand against tyranny. In its place is rising a GOP that seems immune to the world’s need for American leadership and uninterested in the suffering of a country we should aid until the fight is over.


So, I don't disagree with DIY in that their strategy to throttle Ukraine is a loser with the majority in this country and won't help them in the upcoming election. But it doesn't hurt them either. Their base are completely on board with allowing Russia to commit genocide in Ukraine because -- "Hunter Biden" :wall: . But let us not forget that Trump was a nobody until he got in deep with Russian oligarch money in the late 2000's/early 2010's. Let's not forget that Russian agents were embedded in Trump's Congress in the 2017's, that the NRA has become an arm of Russian intelligence and that somehow, the GOP and Trump kept their political hopes alive after Jan 6 through PACs that do not have the same reporting requirements that political campaigns have.

Seems as if Trump is following through on this deal:

A Back-Channel Plan for Ukraine and Russia, Courtesy of Trump Associates
Feb. 19, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/19/us/politics/donald-trump-ukraine-russia.html

Foreign governments have been advancing their cause by feeding corrupt officials in other countries for thousands of years. The kind of thing that Putin is doing to Ukraine by taking advantage of corrupt leaders in the US follows an ancient playbook.

For these reasons I'm not optimistic about Ukraine this year. I'm not certain that the corrupt elements will prevail but am simply waiting to see more details than what I've read thus far. I think US funding to support Ukraine is in dire straits. But I could be wrong.
Just going by what the pundits are saying and the slim republican majority in the house matters.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
which pundits and link please.
I saw it on TV, but I'll have a look. I didn't say it was a done deal, but likely considering the GOP 1 seat majority in the house and republican support for Ukraine in the senate. There are deals being cut that we or perhaps some magats in congress don't know about and not just Joe and the democrats want it, lots of republicans want it too.

Many are giving dire warnings about the funding cut, including those in the administration.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member

U.S. reliability on global stage imperiled as GOP plays politics with Ukraine aid

Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, former director for European affairs for the U.S. National Security Council, and Ben Rhodes, former deputy national security advisor under President Obama, talk with Ali Velshi about global standing of the United States as a defender of democracy and other American ideals and why the stakes of Russia's war on Ukraine extend beyond that single conflict.
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member

U.S. reliability on global stage imperiled as GOP plays politics with Ukraine aid

Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, former director for European affairs for the U.S. National Security Council, and Ben Rhodes, former deputy national security advisor under President Obama, talk with Ali Velshi about global standing of the United States as a defender of democracy and other American ideals and why the stakes of Russia's war on Ukraine extend beyond that single conflict.
more like GOP plays obstructionist and hyprocrits too
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
more like GOP plays obstructionist and hyprocrits too
Everybody knows the cause and Trump losing his immunity case and more importantly is disqualified, will have an impact on foreign relations. It might also take some of the steam out of the maga movement in congress, if they figure there are no administration jobs coming and not much riding on his coattails. His cases before the courts now might have an impact on congress, if he is not immune and is disqualified over the next month.
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
Everybody knows the cause
I hope they do know they cause, cause it's the GOP and it's the only thing they have in they're pocket....all the rest flew off like a deflating balloon......

as for the rest of that comment, i'm not gonna speculate on what happens with the courts right now. His immunity hearing which was today, was an LMAO. He is already disqualified in 2 states cause of the 14th, for me i want know what SCOTUS has to say on the matter, imo it shouldn't be SCOTUS, it should be the constitution.
 

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
I hope they do know they cause, cause it's the GOP and it's the only thing they have in they're pocket....all the rest flew off like a deflating balloon......

as for the rest of that comment, i'm not gonna speculate on what happens with the courts right now. His immunity hearing which was today, was an LMAO. He is already disqualified in 2 states cause of the 14th, for me i want know what SCOTUS has to say on the matter, imo it shouldn't be SCOTUS, it should be the constitution.
You wanna get a lot of this budget stuff off the table for when the shit really hits the fan with Trump in the courts and he leans on magats in congress even more as his desperation and panic grows. Get the budget settled and then go for the border and Ukrainian aid, soon Trump's troubles will consume them.
 
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